News Summary
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, is encountering legal challenges from multiple states, including Nevada, regarding its operations in the sports prediction market. Despite its argument that event contracts are financial instruments, criticisms categorize them as sports betting. The lack of comprehensive regulations has led to scrutiny over Kalshi’s practices, particularly concerning anti-money laundering and user verification. The situation has intensified following a contentious lawsuit, prompting discussions on the future regulatory landscape of sports betting in the United States.
Las Vegas – Kalshi, a prediction market platform, is facing significant legal challenges as multiple states, including Nevada, contest its entry into the sports prediction market. The company, which has been operational since 2018, provides users aged 18 and older with the ability to purchase “event contracts” that predict the outcome of various sporting events, an offering that critics describe as resembling traditional sports betting.
Dr. Brett Abarbanel, the Executive Director of the UNLV International Gaming Institute, argues that Kalshi’s platform operates under the principles of gambling, requiring users to risk something of value based on uncertain outcomes. Despite Kalshi’s claims that its contracts are financial trading instruments, the mechanics of their platform closely align with conventional sports bets. This distinction is becoming increasingly contentious as challenges regarding the regulation of sports prediction markets emerge.
The legal disputes arise from the lack of comprehensive regulation in sports prediction markets, prompting states to take action. Nevada has specifically argued that Kalshi should adhere to the same regulatory standards as sportsbooks, which mandate practices such as anti-money laundering and customer verification efforts. In the current scenario, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which governs futures trading at the federal level, has been involved. Kalshi shares a connection with the CFTC through a board member nominated for the commission’s chair position.
Concerns about the potential conflicts of interest have led U.S. Representative Dina Titus to seek an investigation regarding this board member’s affiliation with Kalshi. In addition, the Dr. Robert Hunter International Problem Gambling Center has raised alarms about the risks of problem gambling, particularly among younger users who are drawn to Kalshi’s offerings.
The Nevada Resorts Association has joined the states’ legal challenge against Kalshi, asserting that the platform’s activities infringe upon state regulations concerning sportsbooks. Reports indicate that an appointment critical for Kalshi’s operations—Brian Quintenz as chair of the CFTC—has stalled in Congress, casting uncertainty on the company’s future.
Kalshi allows users to engage in contracts across a variety of topics, presenting event predictions as yes-or-no questions. The valuation of these contracts is based on a $1 benchmark, where favorable outcomes carry higher prices, with the excess over $1 serving as a transaction fee for Kalshi.
The platform garnered Nevada’s attention following a lawsuit victory that enabled it to offer prediction contracts related to elections, despite statewide prohibitions on election betting. In retaliation to a cease-and-desist order issued by the Nevada Gaming Control Board, Kalshi filed a lawsuit to assert its right to provide sports outcome contracts without needing state licensing, claiming that federal regulations take precedence over state laws.
The current legal confrontations are expected to have far-reaching implications for the regulated sportsbook industry, which generates substantial revenue in tax revenues for states. Analysts predict that the outcomes of these conflicts may ultimately lead to a Supreme Court decision addressing federalism and whether federal legislation permits prediction markets to circumvent state regulations.
Kalshi’s operations have sparked vital discussions around the regulatory frameworks supervising sports betting. As more states initiate legal actions against similar prediction market operators, the future regulatory landscape of sports betting continues to take shape.
Deeper Dive: News & Info About This Topic
HERE Resources
Additional Resources
- News 3 LV
- Wikipedia: Sports Betting
- CDC Gaming Reports
- Google Search: Kalshi prediction markets
- Las Vegas Review-Journal
- Encyclopedia Britannica: Prediction Markets
- The Nevada Independent
- Google News: Kalshi legal challenges

Author: STAFF HERE LAS VEGAS WRITER
LAS VEGAS STAFF WRITER The LAS VEGAS STAFF WRITER represents the experienced team at HERELasVegas.com, your go-to source for actionable local news and information in Las Vegas, Clark County, and beyond. Specializing in "news you can use," we cover essential topics like product reviews for personal and business needs, local business directories, politics, real estate trends, neighborhood insights, and state news affecting the area—with deep expertise drawn from years of dedicated reporting and strong community input, including local press releases and business updates. We deliver top reporting on high-value events such as Electric Daisy Carnival, World Series of Poker, and Consumer Electronics Show. Our coverage extends to key organizations like the Las Vegas Chamber of Commerce and Three Square Food Bank, plus leading businesses in hospitality and entertainment that power the local economy such as MGM Resorts International, Caesars Entertainment, and Las Vegas Sands. As part of the broader HERE network, we provide comprehensive, credible insights into Nevada's dynamic landscape.